Market Commentary

Market Commentary

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Weekly Recap

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  • The NYMEX natural gas market tested the $3.80 price point for the bulk of the week but ultimately failed to break through. The prompt month finished the week down 9.3 cents and as this commentary is being written it has dropped an additional 8.5 cents.
  • Technical analysts put the current trading range between $3.62 and $3.83. We will see in the coming week if the prompt month continues its bearish move toward the low end of this range or if the market will rally back near $3.83.
  • Frontier is predicting a warmer-than-normal November as seen below. Additionally, the NOAA 6-10 Day Forecast shows warming in all areas except the east coast.
  • An injection into storage of 94 BCF was just above expectations. The past 5 injections have beaten the 5-year average by a little over 25% on average. If this pace keeps up, coupled with current Oct-Nov forecasts, we should be over 3.6 TCF in storage before the withdrawal season begins.

Daily Natural Gas Settlements

Daily Natural Gas Settlements 10.20

Last Week on the NYMEX

Last Week on the NYMEX 10.20

Natural Gas in US Storage

Natural Gas in US Storage 10.20

Weekly Commodity Changes in Power Markets

Weekly Commodity Changes in Power Markets 10.20

Frontier Weather Nov-2014 Outlook

Frontier Weather 10.20

The comments made above regarding the NYMEX futures market are the sole opinion of the author, not necessarily the opinions of Interstate Gas Supply, its officers or its employees. Information provided in this “Market Update” is for illustration purposes only, and neither the author nor Interstate Gas Supply shall be liable for any information contained herein.


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